Fanduel Week 10
Carson Palmer $7,900
Everyone is on David Johnson this week, and rightfully so. However, Carson Palmer and the passing attack have seemingly flown under the radar. Palmer has struggled for much of the year, but showed last week that he can take advantage of a good matchup. He doesn’t provide much salary relief, which could be needed in a week with a lot of expensive options with matchups that can be exploited.
Dak Prescott $7,700, Ben Roethlisberger $7,700
Prescott is more of a cash game play most weeks, but this could be a game where Dallas cannot play at their preferred pace. Given that they are playing in Pittsburgh, the Steelers offense could get back on track and force the Cowboys to play catch up. That would give Prescott the chance to throw frequently and potentially live up to his price.
The problem with the Prescott pick is that Ben Roethlisberger is the same price. Roethlisberger comes with more risk given his recent knee injury, but he’s back at home where he and the Steelers’ offense thrives.
Carson Wentz $6,800
Wentz is a good “punt” option at the position given that the Falcons’ secondary is weak and Desmond Trufant will be out. Wentz has been shaky at best in his past four games, so he is a tournament play only, but unlike these other options, he provides salary relief in a slate where that is desperately needed.
Marcus Mariota $7,400
From the early week chatter, Mariota seems like he may be the chalk play of the week at QB. He has shown to be dependent on rushing touchdowns and given the increased ownership I’ll be passing this week.
Colin Kaepernick $7,300
This is hardly a fade, but I’m not chasing last weel’s performance.
Trevor Siemian $7,200
He could be a trendy punt play at the position given his matchup, but if I’m punting at the position I’d feel safer doing so with Wentz.
David Johnson $9,400
It’s nearly impossible to completely fade Johnson this week. I’m going to try to get away from him as much as possible, but the matchup is a dream against the 49ers and he’s the top running back play this week.
DeMarco Murray $7,400
The few teams the Packers have played who have stressed running the ball have had success. Frank Gore didn’t impress with his yards per carry, but he found the end zone twice last week and Ezekiel Elliot gained 157 yards. Murray is probably somewhere in between the two as to his skill level, but he is no longer priced among the elite backs yet provides similar upside.
Devonta Freeman $7,000
Tevin Coleman is out so the workload will be all on Freeman. The Eagles have allowed just four rushing touchdowns to this point in the season but they have also allowed 4.4 yards per carry. Freeman should have low ownership this week and with both the pass catching and workhorse roles, he should be able to return on his price even with a middling matchup.
Jonathan Stewart $6,800
Stewart has been boom or bust all season and in a week where there are a lot of high-priced running backs, he could be a nice pivot and provide some salary relief. Kansas City has allowed only three rushing touchdowns on the season, so this play isn’t without risk but they have also allowed 4.8 yards per rush attempt.
Ezekiel Elliot $8,900
Elliot is the second most expensive back this week and the potential higher pace for the Cowboys offense discussed above could mean a lower volume of carries for Elliot.
Jordan Howard $6,900
Howard looked great against the Vikings in Week 8 but the coaching staff doesn’t seem convinced. The Bears backfield is getting crowded and the workload is questionable enough that I’m staying away at this price.
Mark Ingram/Tim Hightower $6,300, $6,200
The questions about which of these guys will get the workload are enough to fade despite a good matchup. With both at a substantial price, there is plenty of potential for them to fail to live up to it.
Antonio Brown, Mike Evans, and Julio Jones are always in play. That won’t change this week, and finding a way to get two of them into your lineup could be a way to differentiate in tournaments. It’s usually the exact opposite, but this should be a week where there is heavy spending at running back, so big games from two of the elites could be a way to find yourself cashing in.
Demaryius Thomas $7,500
While I am fading Siemian this week, it’s hard to avoid getting a piece of Denver’s passing attack. There’s been a bit of a tug of war between him and Emmanuel Sanders as to who the number one wide receiver in the offense is. On Fanduel, the play is Thomas in a hope for big plays and touchdowns. On DraftKings, the better play is likely Sanders for the PPR format.
Alshon Jeffery $7,200
Jeffery’s only touchdown on the season came in Jay Cutler’s return in Week 8 and the Buccaneers pass defense is a matchup worth exploiting. The worst thing that can be said about Jeffery this week is that he is likely to be highly owned, making him more of a cash game play or someone you really have to believe in for tournaments.
Kelvin Benjamin $7,000
Benjamin hasn’t scored a touchdown since Week 4 and the Chiefs defense is still perceived as elite. While the Chiefs don’t give up an excessive amount of yardage through the air, they have allowed 15 passing scores this season, which is among the most in the league. Benjamin’s ownership should remain low but he has the potential to score multiple touchdowns.
J.J. Nelson $5,600
Nelson’s price point is skyrocketing and he will likely be highly owned. If you want to fade David Johnson, pairing Nelson and Palmer is a way to get a big piece of the offense and still profit from the Cardinals solid matchup.
DeAndre Hopkins $7,400
Thanks to the quarterback play of Brock Osweiler, Hopkins is lacking in explosive plays this year. If there was any format to play him it would be DraftKings, but the Jaguars pass defense has been fairly stingy.
Brandin Cooks $7,300
There are competing narratives in this matchup as the Denver pass defense is excellent but the Saints are playing at home, where their offense is always explosive. Needing around 21.9 points to come through on value, I’ll be fading Cooks this week.
Doug Baldwin $6,900
We know the Patriots like to take away the top option on the opposing team’s offense. Whether that’s Jimmy Graham or Doug Baldwin this week is unclear, but I’ll be steering clear of Baldwin this week.
Jordan Reed $7,000
Reed is my favorite play of the week of any position because his ownership should be low. People will be off this game because of the matchup against the Vikings. However, this season the Vikings have allowed seven receptions for 92 yards to Eric Ebron, seven receptions for 88 yards to Zach Miller, four receptions for 61 yards to C.J. Fiedorowicz, and six receptions for 64 yards to Greg Olsen. Matching those numbers with a touchdown will mean Reed returns value, and anytime elite talent is available at low ownership, it’s time to pounce.
Travis Kelce $6,300
This is a friendly matchup for Kelce and the Chiefs, so he’ll be a chalky play. It’s hard for me to buy into the Chiefs passing attack as we have continually been disappointed by it. I’ll be holding my breath on this play, but it could pan out this week.
Zach Ertz $4,600
It’s hard to get excited about the Eagles passing attack, but this could be the week to exploit a good matchup. Zach Ertz quietly had eight targets last week and is a cheap play to get a piece of a good matchup.
Greg Olsen $7,200
Olsen is always among the top plays at the tight end position but it’s not a week to play him. Outpriced by only Gronk, Olsen will have a tough matchup against the Chiefs as, despite mediocrity against other positions, the defense excels against the tight end.
Photo Credit: Keith Allison